POLL-Australia's mortgage-backed bond market to stay moribund

Australia's asset back bond market is likely to stay all but dead this year, according to a Reuters poll of industry insiders, though corporate issuance should be supported by an expanding government guarantee programme.

While opinions diverged widely on issuance for some bonds, there was bleak consensus on the fate of the moribund market for asset-backed securities.

Not one of 18 respondents expects 2009 issuance to exceed last year's A$11 billion ($7.3 billion), already a pittance compared to the A$57 billion issued in 2007.
"I don't see Australian asset-backed issuance picking up any time soon ... it will be the last one to recover because they are more structured and less liquid," said Craig Saalmann, an independent consultant in capital markets.

These types of bonds, mostly residential mortgage-backed securities, suffered the biggest slump in 2008 and respondents expect issuance of just A$9 billion on average in 2009.

Australia, the world's fourth-largest market of mortgage backed securities, took a beating last year as investors shunned the asset class following the U.S. subprime debacle, putting a number of Australian non-bank mortgage lenders out of business.
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